Claim

Aura. Not a stake.

Forecasts for anyone. Aura, not money.

A prediction room for anyone. You Take for Aura: honor you wear, never money you withdraw. Every Forecast stays with the people who sat it.

Aura is a stamp for being right. You cannot buy it or withdraw it.

You show up on the board after claimed rooms Resolve, not after you yell or pay.

Your question

Create a Forecast

Invent a yes/no Forecast. Category first: that disc is the logo. Friends Take a number. You Resolve. Private or Circle. Funny on purpose.

  1. 1Category· Sports, Politics, Life. That disc is the logo.
  2. 2Room· Private link or Circle. Lock it or Track it.
  3. 3Take· A number. Share. You Resolve. No money.
Start Create →

Public tape

Shadow a market

Forecast against a live Polymarket question. Circle, 1-1, or the Board. The tape Resolves. Beat the room, then the market. No wallet.

  1. 1Tape· A live Polymarket question. No wallet.
  2. 2Who· Circle, 1-1, or the Board.
  3. 3Take· Your number vs the tape. It Resolves.
Start Shadow →

Time capsule

Every Take you ever make stays.

Brunch or the Fed. Same ledger. Claimed accounts keep every prediction with anyone. Sealed, not a feed that vanishes. Aura is a ranking you can be proud of.

48Claimed Takes116Shadow Aura118Social Aura42Resolved

For fun

Brunch, Slack, a dare. Same math as a Fed question. Funny Forecasts still Resolve. A Circle can ask the LLM judge if someone disputes.

You write it. Friends put a number. Nobody pays. The room still keeps score.

Not for money

No wallet. No stake. No cash-out. Aura is a stamp you wear. If you were right, it shows.

A coin would be a book. The seal is honor. That is the whole product.

Proof of being right

What you Forecasted versus what happened. A streak. A category crown. Honor you can screenshot and show off.

Claimed accounts mint Aura. Guest Takes still score the room.

What betting never had

Rooms that stay. A passport that remembers.

Circles

A standing room

Family, office, the group chat. One Forecast, one link, only members Take. Claimed accounts only. Not a public square.

Open Circles →

Passport

Forecasted vs Resolved

Two tracks: Social (brunch) and Shadow (vs the tape). Calibration, streak, a category crown for skill, not who Took the most.

Your passport →

Board

Ranked Aura

Claimed people, real rooms, time. Guest Takes still work on a private link. They just don’t mint Aura. Honor you can show.

See the board →

Every category gets a logo

Pick the room’s sport before you write the question.

A Forecast lives in one category. That disc is the logo. Hover a ring for an example Take. The line is 0 to 100 YES. A sketch of a room, not an open link.

TakeJules locked 81% YES on “Maya ghosts brunch and blames Mercury.”. Life & friends is its own sport. A record here does not move with you to another category.81%LifeRafi locked 61% YES on “The series goes seven.”. Sports is its own sport. A record here does not move with you to another category.61%SportsNia locked 41% YES on “The vote actually holds.”. Politics is its own sport. A record here does not move with you to another category.41%PoliticsKen locked 55% YES on “BTC prints a new high before Friday.”. Crypto & markets is its own sport. A record here does not move with you to another category.55%CryptoSol locked 73% YES on “The album drops this month.”. Culture is its own sport. A record here does not move with you to another category.73%CultureAva locked 22% YES on “The intern leaks Slack.”. Work & companies is its own sport. A record here does not move with you to another category.22%WorkIvy locked 48% YES on “The launch slips a week.”. Science is its own sport. A record here does not move with you to another category.48%ScienceTheo locked 27% YES on “We book the 6am flight.”. Other is its own sport. A record here does not move with you to another category.27%Other0%Room mean 51%100%

Hover a category ring, or a dot on the 0 to 100 line.

Create

You invent the question

Category first: that disc is the logo. Then the Forecast. Private link or a Circle. Friends Take a number. You Resolve. Funny on purpose. Still Brier.

LogoCategoryForecastThe questionTakesThe roomResolveYou decideStart Create →

Shadow

You Forecast against the tape

A live Polymarket YES/NO (or named sides). Circle tracking, or a 1-1 dare. The tape Resolves. No wallet. Beat the room, then see if you beat the market.

Tape 52¢ yesYou 61%MarketCircle or 1-1Tape ResolvesStart Shadow →

Rooms people sit in

Passports, Forecasts, a shareable Resolve.

Two custom rooms and two live Shadows. Click a card. Friends sit with names. Aura is the honor, not a wallet.

Click a room to open a passport and the card friends sit in.

Custom rooms are examples. Shadows use today’s tape. Takes here are still mock.

How a room starts

Claim. Write a Forecast. Open a Circle. Wear a rank that remembers.

Six beats on the human side. Email, a Forecast, a standing Circle, Aura, a passport line, a ranking that isn’t a follower count.

Register

An email. That’s the door.

Register with a magic link. Claim keeps the first name. No password product, no phone OTP.

Claim

Link sent. Open it once and you are in.

Passport

Jules

@jules

Claimed · Jules is on the board now.

Claim with email →Create a ForecastCreate a CircleYour passport →

Want the weeds: versus markets, the honor loop, how Aura is proof? Read About →