ETH above $5k this year?
655 Took
PYTHIA
Predictions for anyone. For honor.
Give your take on anything. Every Take is dated and sealed. When you are right, you have receipts. When you are wrong, so does everyone else.
A sealed ledger of every Take, with anyone, over time.
Anyone can Forecast
Honor, not a book.
Pythia is a prediction for everyone. You write a Forecast, friends Take, the room Resolves. Aura is a ranking you wear. Email magic link.
Time capsule
A sealed track record. Forever.
Every Forecast you ever make with anyone is sealed. Brunch dares and rate cuts on the same ledger. Close an account and we anonymize the name. The Takes stay so the room can still Resolve. That is the point: proof over time, not a disappearing chat.
The swap
A coin leaves. A stamp stays. That is the whole product.
Why Pythia wins
Anyone can participate. That is the contrast.
Books want a stake. Closed shops keep the score in a room you cannot enter. Pythia is a magic-link Forecast anyone can Take, for Aura and honor.
Who can play
The whole product is open.
Who can play
The whole product is open.
Pythia
Anyone. Open the link, Take. Email magic link when you want a handle.
Markets & books
Wallet first. Often a deposit. Sometimes KYC.
Closed shops
Invited experts. You watch from the hallway.
How you start
Thirty seconds, not a brokerage.
How you start
Thirty seconds, not a brokerage.
Pythia
Email link. No wallet. No deposit. No cash-out form.
Markets & books
Connect a wallet, fund it, learn the book.
Closed shops
Apply, wait, or pay for a seat.
What’s on the line
Honor, not a payout.
What’s on the line
Honor, not a payout.
Pythia
Aura: a stamp that you were right. Nothing to withdraw.
Markets & books
Cash. USDC. PnL. A book that wants your stake.
Closed shops
Their brand. Not yours.
What the score is for
A ranking people can actually use.
What the score is for
A ranking people can actually use.
Pythia
Hiring signal, friend-group brag, Circle reputation, calibration vs the tape. Social vs Shadow on one passport.
Markets & books
Did you make money this week.
Closed shops
A leaderboard you cannot join.
The loop
Forecast. Take. Resolve.
Same three moves on both products. Aura is the stamp after Resolve, not a fourth button, not a cash-out.
01
Forecast
Write the yes/no: custom, or Shadow the tape. Share a private link or a Circle.
02
Take
A number. Guests can Take on an unlisted link. Circles stay claimed-only.
03
Resolve
YES, NO, or N/A. You, a named source, a Circle judge, or the tape.
Then Aura. Proof you were right. Social vs Shadow on the passport. Nothing to withdraw.
Two products. Only two.
Create a Forecast, or Shadow a market.
Product 1
Create
You invent a yes/no Forecast. Category first: Sports, Politics, Life. That disc is the logo. Private WhatsApp link, or a standing Circle. Lock one number, or Track it until close. You Resolve; a Circle can ask a judge.
Start Create →Product 2
Shadow
You Forecast against a live Polymarket question. Circle tracking, or a 1-1 dare. Display: 10 Aura on the line. The tape Resolves. No wallet. The flex is beating the room, then beating the market.
Start Shadow →Why the ranking is useful
Aura is for rooms that need a name on the wall.
Not a jackpot. Not a prize pool. A record of being right: friends, Circles, and the public tape. How the engine mixes weights stays in the engine.
Friend-group bragging rights
The group chat finally has a score. Who was right about brunch, the series, the intern.
Circle reputation
Standing rooms: family, office, the crew. Claimed seats only. Aura stays in that room.
Calibration proof vs markets
Shadow a live Polymarket question. Beat the room, then see if you beat the tape.
Hiring / skill signal
A public Shadow track is a record of being right under a number, not a résumé adjective.
Dual passport
Social is the fun custom track. Shadow is the public serious track. Same math. Different rooms.
A board that means something
Claimed people, verified rooms, time on the question. Guest Takes on a private link do not mint Aura.
Proof of Aura
Said vs happened. That’s the passport.
Calibration is quiet accuracy. Beating the room is Nerve. Shadow adds a third number: you vs the tape. Funny Forecasts still count. They live on Life. Sports skill is not politics skill. Two tracks: Social (custom) and Shadow (public vs Polymarket).
Maya ghosts brunch
Jules · 81%
The series goes seven
Rafi · 61%
The vote actually holds
Nia · 41%
BTC prints before Friday
Ken · 55%
The board
Claimed people. Real rooms. Time.
Guests can still Take on a private link. That is the WhatsApp dare. They do not mint Aura or sit in a Circle. Rank is for claimed accounts, in rooms where other claimed people showed up, on Forecasts that lived long enough to mean something.
Open the board →Levels
A path, not a jackpot.
- Unclaimed. Take for fun. Claim to appear.
- Initiate. A few ranked Takes in claimed rooms.
- Seer. On the board. Keep beating the room.
- Oracle / Pythia. A long record, consistently near the top.
Why this is not a poll
Brier tiering, tap a card
Each card opens a live diagram. Same math that scores a Fed Forecast scores pineapple on pizza.
The kit
Everything that makes this not a poll
Tap a card. The one-liner is the hook. The dropdown is how it actually works.
Not gambling · Not financial advice · No wallet · Aura is reputation